Indians must not indulge in war mongering pursuant to the successful Surgical Strikes by the Indian Para Commandos on the militants' launch pads inside the Pakistan territory.
It is a self-delusional myth that the Pakistani Army shall be deterred from attacking India, directly or indirectly if Indian Army does a few sharp-focused Surgical Strikes. Also, it again is a self-delusional myth that there is no danger of a nuclear warfare in the event of a full-fledged Indo-Pak War.
In a hurry, many jingoistic and ill-informed commentators have declared the above mentioned two myths to be true in the light of the Pakistani government's desperate attempt to descalate tension with India and save its face by denying the occurrence of the recent Indian Army strikes at 7 places inside its borders in retaliation against killing of 18 Indian soldiers in September, 2016 by militants in Uri.
Let us examine these two self-perpetuating myths one by one.
After the Kargil defeat in 1999 at the hands of the Indian defence forces, one would have normally expected the Pakistani Army and government Establishment to stop directing violence against the Indian Interests. Instead, the world witnessed in 2001 the unthinkable breaching of the Indian Parliament building by the Pak-supported militants and the outrageous killing of foreign nationals and Indian citizens in 2008, November 26 Mumbai attack by a highly motivated team of young Pakistani militants.
As regards the second myth, the Pakistani Army has so far resisted the temptation to use nuclear or bio-chemical warfare against India mainly owing to the very low cost of its military adventures into India. The day this cost becomes unsustainable and unbearably very high endangering the very survival of the Pakistani Army or Pakistan in terms of a hard thrashing at the hands of the Indian armed forces that day the Pakistani Army forced by religious fundamentalists may find itself using the nuclear-bio-chemical arsenal against India.
Remember, a desperate Saddam Hussein saw no wrong in using the Scud missiles against coalition forces in 2003 Iraq War.
Don't be foolish enough to believe that the Pak military-ISI combine is so stupid that it had not taken the serious note of the Indian PM Narendra Modi's threatful speech made in Kerala in the days preceding the Indian Commando attack and wasn't anticipating anything spectacular from the Indian army. It is simply that the Indian Surgical Strike teams were successful in breaching and utmanoeuvring the Pak military defences.
The present denial mode adopted by the Pakistani government on the Indian military operation inside Pak territory is due to its already overstretched military having reached its elastic limits where it cannot afford high cost of high profile military warfare with India. The situation wasn't that bad for the Pak military way back in 2001 or 2008.
Those who were in the know at the highest levels of Indian military and government in 2008 shall tell you the factual truth that the then Manmohan Singh government was under so much intense international and popular domestic pressure to redeem its credibility after the 26/11 Mumbai attack that the Indian government of the day then was contemplating a military response which would have been more than surgical strikes but short of a full-fledged military war. Added to this was the temptation to get political mileage for the same in the ensuing 2009 Lok Sabha elections...!
The then assessment of the Indian government was that enough was enough and it was time to teach Pakistan a tough military lesson for good, especially when even the Kargil defeat of 1999 had not been able to stop the Pak military Establishment from giving nightmares to Indians in terms of 2001 Parliament attack and 26/11 adventure...!
Had the Manmohan Singh government caved in to the public pressure and its own hawks then you would have seen a few Indian military units attacking the militant hide outs deep into Pakistan. This in turn would surely have forced the hand of the Pakistani armed forces which would have then tried to stop the advancing columns of the Indian army. In short, the beginning of a full-fledged war causing miseries on both sides of the Indo-Pak border.
But, the cooler heads prevailed and the Indian government backed out from an outright military assault against Pakistan. That saved the day and helped sustain the relative peace in the Indian sub-continent.

Thus, in the ultimate analysis, it can safely be concluded that keeping cool is the best option in the current circumstances for both the Indian and Pakistani governments. Let the peace be given a chance. Let there be no war mongering by either of these two nuclear neighbours. Let the Kashmir issue be sorted out peacefully and amicably.

~ Swaamee Aprtemaanandaa Jee
{Foto: Courtesy Google}


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